00756nam a22001097a 4500020001800000082001200018100002400030245006400054260004300118300000800161650047700169  a9781138035119  a519.542  aFENTON NARMANaNEIL  aRISK ASSESSMENT nd decision analysis with bayesian networks  aBOCA RATON LONDON NEW YORKbCRC PRESS   a637  aDEBUNKING BAD STATISTICS. NEED FOR CASUAL , EXPLANATORY MODELS IN RISK ASSESSMENT.MEASURING UNCERTAINTY THE INEVITABILITY OF SUBJECTIVITY . .THE BASIC OF PROBABILITY. BAYES THEOREM  AND CONDITIONAL PROBABILITY . BAYES THEOREM TO BAYESIAN NETWORK . NUMERIC VARIABLES AND CONTINUOUS DISTRIBUTION FUNCTIONS . HYPOTHESIS TESTING AND CONFIDENCE INTERVALS.. MODELING OPERATIONAL RISK. SYSTEMS RELIABILITY MODELING . THE ROLE OF BAYES IN FORENSIC AND LEGAL EVIDENCE PRESENTATION